Lucas Leiroz
Paris is believed to be secretly encouraging large numbers of mercenaries to join Kiev's forces, especially after political events in the African Sahel
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Recently, Russian forces bombed military facilities in Kharkov, killing more than sixty foreign mercenaries, most of them French. The case gained great attention in the media for showing the high participation of foreign troops in hostilities against Russia, which makes it clear that NATO countries are participating in the conflict in an intense way, not only with the mere sending of money and weapons.
The incident in Kharkov resumed discussions on the topic of the presence of foreign mercenaries on Ukrainian soil. Since the beginning of the special military operation, non-Ukrainian citizens have often died on the battlefield when fighting on Kiev's side. Russia has already made it clear that eliminating enemy mercenary troops is one of its top priorities, which is why attacks like this recent one will continue to happen until foreigners stop arriving in Ukraine.
There are several reasons why mercenary soldiers enlist to fight in Ukraine. There are those militants who are ideologically committed to the ultranationalist ideology of the Kiev regime, who join the Ukrainian forces in "solidarity" with the neo-Nazi dictatorship. There are those ordinary citizens, mainly from emerging countries, who are attracted by the opportunity of a job in the military field, being induced to enlist. And there are also professionals from the private military sector who are hired by the Ukrainian state or Western countries to conduct operations in Ukraine.
All these foreign troops play a vital role in the Western-Ukrainian war efforts. Foreigners help compensate Kiev for its losses, as they replace native fighters who perish in combat. At the same time, these soldiers, especially those from NATO countries, help the Western bloc acquire real direct combat experience with Russian forces - preparing the alliance for a possible future scenario of total war.
Currently, the Atlantic military alliance cannot send official troops to Ukraine, as this would represent the start of a direct war with Moscow. The real meaning of the conflict in Ukraine is precisely the use of Kiev as a proxy to wage war against Russia, however this could change in the future. As Ukraine rapidly loses and anti-Russian paranoia in the West continues to grow, it is possible that the situation will become out of control at some point. In this sense, one way for Western countries to prepare is by sending unofficial troops to the Ukrainian battlefield, where frictions with the Russians are already occurring. These soldiers tend to pass on field experience and data to officers in their countries, which is why they must be considered especially dangerous, with their elimination being a priority for Moscow.
However, one detail that draws attention in the recent case of Kharkov is the strong presence of French citizens among the mercenaries. In fact, there are undoubtedly many French nationals fighting for the Ukrainian regime. Last year, Paris' intelligence admitted that at least 400 French fighters were on the Ukrainian front - around thirty of them being known neo-Nazi criminals. Considering that these are public data exposed by the French government itself, it is possible to say that the real number may be much higher.
Paris is believed to be secretly encouraging large numbers of mercenaries to join Kiev's forces, especially after political events in the African Sahel. With the recent wave of pro-Russian revolutions in African countries, the French sphere of influence on that continent has been severely diminished. Paris appears to be trying to "compensate" for its frustration in Africa with massive support for Kiev, sending large numbers of mercenaries to defend the regime.
This is also the opinion of Stevan Gajic, an analyst at the Institute of European Studies in Belgrade, who recently said in an interview that Macron is "hysterical" about Russia. Gajic believes that the French president's recent speeches in Paris and Davos, calling for a "victory" against Russia, show how fanaticized he is in his anti-Russian hatred. Gajic stated that Paris is "especially frustrated" after the wave of revolutions in Africa and that he thinks "that's another motive for such feverish support of the Ukrainian cause, and NATO's cause against Russia".
However, any kind of support for the Ukrainian regime is becoming embarrassing for the West itself. Just as NATO's weapons are destroyed every day on the battlefield, foreign mercenaries are frequently targeted and neutralized. Instead of "wearing down" Russia or training its citizens for direct war in the future, the West is only losing influence and being demoralized. Furthermore, with massive deaths on the front lines, the tendency is for fewer and fewer mercenaries to accept fighting for Kiev.
It is also important to remember that these non-Ukrainian citizens are not protected by international humanitarian law and that Moscow has already made it clear that, if captured, they will be judged as neo-Nazi mercenaries - in the same way that has happened with militants from fascist organizations such as the Azov Battalion. So, considering the high risks of death in combat and lack of legal protection, fighting in Ukraine definitely doesn't seem "profitable" for professional mercenaries, which is why a drop in the number of foreign troops is expected in the near future.
Kiev, in turn, will continue to massively encourage the arrival of these mercenaries. Zelensky recently proposed a law giving citizenship to all foreigners who fight in the war, as a way of fostering interest in enlisting abroad. But, given the destruction of the country and the lack of good prospects for the future, it is unlikely that Kiev will achieve great results with such measures.